04 · Economics

Pricing & Economics

How CRE debt is priced in Canada, what the lender actually earns, and where Cameron Stephens likely sits on the risk/return curve.

Why pricing is hard

Executive framing

CRE debt is not bond pricing. There is no liquid secondary market, no daily mark, and each loan has unique structural features. Pricing is a negotiation between (a) the lender's required risk-adjusted return, (b) what the sponsor will pay before walking, (c) the price of the next-best lender, and (d) constraints from the lender's own funding cost and capital regime. AI/tech can improve the inputs to that negotiation (precedent transactions, market spreads, risk modelling) but does not replace it.

Anatomy of a quoted rate

A CRE loan rate is usually expressed as benchmark + spread:

Coupon = Benchmark rate + Credit spread + Structural spread

ComponentWhat it reflectsTypical range (Q2 2026)
BenchmarkCost of money. GoC yield matching loan term for fixed; CORRA + spread or Prime for floating. CORRA replaced CDOR in 2024.3.0–4.0% on 3–5yr GoC
Credit spreadLender's risk premium for this asset + sponsor + structure150–450 bps (term, lower-risk) → 450–800 bps (transitional)
Structural spreadPremium for non-standard features: high leverage, mezz, junior position, short term, complex collateral50–300 bps

Loan-level rate is one number; the lender's economic return is a different number once fees, capitalisation, and prepayment are accounted for.

Indicative benchmarks (Q2 2026)

Directional only. The actual market moves weekly. Use to calibrate your ear, not to quote.

Product Senior all-in Spread over benchmark Who lends
CMHC-insured multi-family (term)4.0–4.8%+50–100 bps over GoCBanks, life cos, NHA-MBS issuers
Stabilised multi-family term (uninsured)5.5–6.5%+200–300 bps over GoCBanks, life cos, credit unions
Industrial term5.7–6.8%+225–325 bpsBanks, life cos
Retail term (grocery-anchored)6.0–7.2%+250–375 bpsBanks, life cos, debt funds
Office term7.5–9.5%+450–650 bpsFew; mostly trophy assets
Multi-family construction (senior)7.0–8.5%+350–500 bpsBanks (large sponsors only), debt funds, MICs, CS
Condo construction (senior)8.0–10.0%+450–650 bpsBanks (premium sponsors), debt funds, MICs, CS
Bridge loan (stabilising asset)8.5–11.0%+550–750 bpsDebt funds, MICs, CS
Mezzanine (construction)11.0–14.0%+750–1000 bpsMezz funds, debt funds, CS
Land loan10.0–13.0%+650–900 bpsPrivate lenders, MICs
Pref equity12.0–18.0% (target)n/a — equityPref funds, family offices

Fee waterfall

Fees compound on top of coupon to produce the lender's all-in yield. The structure varies but the menu is consistent.

FeeWhen chargedTypical magnitudeWho keeps it
Engagement / good-faithTerm sheet signing$5K–$50KLender (covers due diligence; refunded against commitment if closes)
Commitment feeCommitment letter signing50–200 bps of loan amountLender (earned)
Lender fee / origination feeFunding100–250 bps of loan amountLender
Broker feeFunding50–150 bps of loan amountPaid by sponsor to broker (often outside loan)
Standby feeOn undrawn balance (construction)25–100 bps per annumLender
Renewal / extension feeEach extension exercised25–100 bpsLender
Exit feePayout (bridge / construction)50–200 bps of payoffLender
Servicing / administration feeAnnual, on outstanding balance15–50 bps per annumLender (or external servicer)
Prepayment / make-wholeEarly payoutGreater of 3 months' interest or yield maintenanceLender
Modification feeAny material amendment10–50 bpsLender

Worked example — $50M construction loan, 24 months

Indicative non-bank senior construction loan against a 200-unit GTA purpose-built rental, by a manager like Cameron Stephens.

LineValueNotes
Loan amount (committed)$50,000,00075% LTC
Term24 months + 6mo ext
CouponGoC 2yr + 425 bps = ~7.50%Floating reset quarterly
Commitment fee (1.00%)$500,000Paid at signing
Lender fee (1.50%)$750,000Paid at funding
Standby fee (0.50% on undrawn, avg $25M)$250,000Earned over draw period
Exit fee (1.00%)$500,000Paid at payout
Avg outstanding (S-curve)~$30MDrawn over construction
Interest earned (24mo avg)~$4,500,0007.50% × $30M × 2yr
Gross revenue (24mo)~$6,500,000Interest + fees
Effective annualised yield on committed~7.5–8.5%Function of how fast drawn
Effective annualised yield on average outstanding~10–12%What the LP "sees"

Operator The mental shortcut: a non-bank construction lender like CS targets 10–13% gross IRR on average outstanding on a senior construction loan, before management fees and losses. Net to LP after fees and losses is meaningfully lower — usually 7–10%.

Prepayment economics

Sponsors prepay when they refinance into cheaper debt (e.g. construction loan → CMHC takeout), when they sell, or when they're forced (covenant breach, lender demand).

Modelling prepayment behaviour is one of the harder data problems — sponsor and asset type both shift probabilities. A common gap in fund-level reporting.

Fund-level economics

The deal yield rolls up into fund-level returns through a fee and waterfall layer. Approximate non-bank Canadian CRE debt fund economics:

Gross loan IRR (asset level)10–13%
Less: management fee−100–150 bps on AUM (typical for institutional mandate); −200 bps on retail
Less: realised losses (cycle-avg)−25–100 bps depending on book risk
Less: cash drag / undeployed capital−25–75 bps depending on deployment
Less: performance fee / carry above hurdle10–20% over 6–8% pref (varies)
Net to investor~7–10% in a normal-rate environment

On the Equity Capital side the math is different — JVs with sponsors target equity-IRR 15–22% with chunkier promote structures. Will deepen in a follow-on doc when CS shifts focus there.

Where Cameron Stephens likely sits

Stitching the deal mix together against the curve:

Senior term, CMHC Banks, life cos 4–5%
Senior term, uninsured Banks, life cos, credit unions 5.5–7%
Senior construction Cameron Stephens · Trez · Romspen · MCAN · Atrium · others 7.5–10%
Bridge / transitional Cameron Stephens · Trez · Romspen · Firm Capital · others 8.5–11%
Mezzanine (selective) Cameron Stephens when appropriate · specialty mezz funds 11–14%
JV equity / dev partner Cameron Stephens Equity Capital 15–22% target

CS lives in the middle of the stack on the debt side, plus a focused equity slot. The pricing battle is rarely with the Big Five banks — it's with the other non-bank lenders sitting at the same yield band, on dimensions of speed, certainty of close, structuring flexibility, and sponsor relationship.

Watchpoint

When you hear an internal pricing debate framed as "the bank is offering 5.75%", check that comp is real. Banks frequently indicate aggressive pricing but don't deliver — long timelines, last-minute conditions, takeout requirements that don't fit. A 7.5% loan that funds in six weeks is a different product than a 5.75% loan that takes six months and may not happen. That gap is the entire reason non-bank lenders exist; don't let it get priced away.